Peer Reviewed Publications

• Fisher, Scott, Graig R. Klein & Juste Codjo. 2022. Foreign Policy Through Language & Sentiment. Foreign Policy Analysis​. 18(2).
• Klein, Graig R., José Cuesta, & Cristian Chagalj. 2022. The Nicaragua Protest Crisis in 2018-2019: Assessing the Logic of Government Responses to Protests. Journal of Politics in Latin America 14(1): 55-83.
• Klein, Graig R. 2021. Refugees, Perceived Threat & Domestic Terrorism. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism. Online First: October 31.
  • International Centre for Counter-Terrorism perspective applying the research to the Belarus-EU migrant crisis here
• Tokdemir, Efe & Graig R. Klein. 2021. Strategic Interaction of Governments and Terrorist Groups in Times of Economic Hardship. Defence & Peace Economics. Online First: June 14.
• Boddery, Scott S. & Graig R. Klein. 2021. Presidential Use of Diversionary Drone Force and Public Support.  Research & Politics. Online First: May 26.
• Farrer, Benjamin & Graig R. Klein. 2019. How Radical Environmental Violence Impacts US Elections. Terrorism and Political Violence​. Online First: November 4.
• Klein, Graig R. & Efe Tokdemir. 2019. Domestic Diversion: Selective Targeting of Minority Out-Groups. Conflict Management and Peace Science 36(1): 20-41. 
  • Political Violence @ a Glance post applying the research to 2020 racial tensions & campaign politics in the U.S. here
  • Political Violence @ a Glance post discussing our research here
• Klein, Graig R. & Patrick M. Regan. 2018. Dynamics of Political Protests.  ​International Organization. 72(2): 485-521.
  • Political Violence @ a Glance post applying the research to 2019 Hong Kong protests here
  • Political Violence @ a Glance ​post applying the research to 2018 Iran protests here
• Farrer, Benjamin & Graig R. Klein. 2017. The Political Roots of Domestic Environmental Terrorism. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties. 27(2): 133-155.
  • Monkey Cage post discussing our research here​​
• Klein, Graig R. 2016.  Ideology Isn't Everything: Transnational Terrorism, Recruitment Incentives & Attack Casualties. Terrorism and Political Violence. 28(5): 868-887.

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Selected Political Analyses & Commentary

• The Buffalo Attack - An Analysis of the Manifesto. With Tahir Abbas, Inés Bolaños Somoano, Joana Cook, Isabelle Frens & Richard McNeil-Wilson. International Centre for Counter-Terrorism. May 18, 2022.
• Using lies & disinformation, Putin and his team have been building the case for a Ukraine invasion for 14 years. The Conversation. April 5, 2022.
• First Georgia, Then Ukraine: How Russian Propaganda Justifies Invasions. With Juris Pupcenoks. Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs (EIA) March 9, 2022. 
• The Leader of ISIS is Dead, but are Targeted Killings Effective? International Centre for Counter-Terrorism. February 10, 2022.
• Reframing Threats of Migrants in Europe. International Centre for Counter-Terrorism. December 13, 2021.
• Trump Gambles on American Racial Tension. With Carla Martínez Machain & Efe Tokdemir. Political Violence @ a Glance. July 9, 2020.
• Environmental Direct Action May Be Forgiven By Voters If They Can See That Conventional Politics Are Not Working. With Benjamin Farrer. London School of Economics - US Centre (USAPP). December 12, 2019.
• Accommodating the Hong Kong Protests, It's Not Too Surprising. Political Violence @ a Glance. September 24, 2019.
• Explaining Iran's Response to the Protests. With Patrick M. Regan. Political Violence @ a Glance. January 18, 2018.
• Words and Deeds: Electoral Success for Greens in the US Leads to Less Environmental Sabotage. With Benjamin Farrer. London School of Economics - US Centre (USAPP). Nov. 2, 2017.
• Will next week's U.S. elections lead to violence? Here's what environmental extremists can teach us. With Benjamin Farrer. The Washington Post, Monkey Cage. Nov. 1, 2016.
• It's the Economy, Stupid (But Blame Minority Groups). With Efe Tokdemir & Carla Martínez Machain. Political Violence @ a Glance. October 27, 2016.
• These Two Reasons Explain Why the Islamic State Attacked France Now. The Washington Post, 
  Monkey Cage. Nov. 18, 2015.
• Rethinking Terrorism as a Strategy of Provocation. Political Violence @ a Glance. June 1, 2015.
• Calling All Martyrs: Recruitment Incentives & Terror Attack Casualties. Quantitative Peace. September 9, 2014.

Selected Working Papers

• Predicting Armed Conflict Using Machine Learning.  (With Nicholas Tatonetti, Columbia University​)

Civil War Onset Forecast for Uganda

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• Reconsidering Political Use of Force Abroad in the Drone Age. ​(With Scott S. Boddery, Gettysburg College)

Predicted Count of Drone Strikes per Month, 2006-2012

Predicted Count of Credit Claiming Drone Strikes, 2008-2012

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