Peer Reviewed Publications

• Klein, Graig R. 2021. Refugees, Perceived Threat & Domestic Terrorism. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism. Online First: October 31.
• Fisher, Scott, Graig R. Klein & Juste Codjo. forthcoming. Foreign Policy Through Language & Sentiment. Foreign Policy Analysis​.
• Klein, Graig R., José Cuesta, & Cristian Chagalj. 2021. The Nicaragua Protest Crisis in 2018-2019: Assessing the Logic of Government Responses to Protests. Journal of Politics in Latin America. Online First: July 7.
• Tokdemir, Efe & Graig R. Klein. 2021. Strategic Interaction of Governments and Terrorist Groups in Times of Economic Hardship. Defence & Peace Economics. Online First: June 14.
• Boddery, Scott S. & Graig R. Klein. 2021. Presidential Use of Diversionary Drone Force and Public Support.  Research & Politics. Online First: May 26.
• Farrer, Benjamin & Graig R. Klein. 2019. How Radical Environmental Violence Impacts US Elections. Terrorism and Political Violence​. Online First: November 4.
• Klein, Graig R. & Efe Tokdemir. 2019. Domestic Diversion: Selective Targeting of Minority Out-Groups. Conflict Management and Peace Science 36(1): 20-41. 
  • Political Violence @ a Glance post applying the research to 2020 racial tensions & campaign politics in the U.S. here
  • Political Violence @ a Glance post about this article here
• Klein, Graig R. & Patrick M. Regan. 2018. Dynamics of Political Protests.  ​International Organization. 72(2): 485-521.
  • Political Violence @ a Glance post applying the research to 2019 Hong Kong protests here
  • Political Violence @ a Glance ​post applying the research to 2018 Iran protests here
• Farrer, Benjamin & Graig R. Klein. 2017. The Political Roots of Domestic Environmental Terrorism. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties. 27(2): 133-155.
  • Monkey Cage post about this article here​​
• Klein, Graig R. 2015.  Ideology Isn't Everything: Transnational Terrorism, Recruitment Incentives & Attack Casualties. Terrorism and Political Violence. 28(5): 868-887.

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Selected Political Analyses & Commentary

• Trump Gambles on American Racial Tension. With Carla Martínez Machain & Efe Tokdemir. Political Violence @ a Glance. July 9, 2020.
• Environmental Direct Action May Be Forgiven By Voters If They Can See That Conventional Politics Are Not Working. With Benjamin Farrer. London School of Economics - US Centre (USAPP). December 12, 2019.
• Accommodating the Hong Kong Protests, It's Not Too Surprising. Political Violence @ a Glance. September 24, 2019.
• Explaining Iran's Response to the Protests. With Patrick M. Regan. Political Violence @ a Glance. January 18, 2018.
• Words and Deeds: Electoral Success for Greens in the US Leads to Less Environmental Sabotage. With Benjamin Farrer. London School of Economics - US Centre (USAPP). Nov. 2, 2017.
• Will next week's U.S. elections lead to violence? Here's what environmental extremists can teach us. With Benjamin Farrer. The Washington Post, Monkey Cage. Nov. 1, 2016.
• It's the Economy, Stupid (But Blame Minority Groups). With Efe Tokdemir & Carla Martínez Machain. Political Violence @ a Glance. October 27, 2016.
• These Two Reasons Explain Why the Islamic State Attacked France Now. The Washington Post, 
  Monkey Cage. Nov. 18, 2015.
• Rethinking Terrorism as a Strategy of Provocation. Political Violence @ a Glance. June 1, 2015.
• Calling All Martyrs: Recruitment Incentives & Terror Attack Casualties. Quantitative Peace. 
              Sept. 9, 2014.
• Social Media and Rethinking 'The Clash of Civilizations.' G8 Summit 2011 Magazine - Distributed to Attendees of Summit in Deauville, France.  May 2011. Page 92.
• Madame Secretaries. The Diplomatic Courier (Print Edition Cover Story).  Spring 2011, 5(2): 11.
• Malaysia: Series of Cyber Attacks Mark Regional Elections. The Diplomatic Courier. April 21, 2011.
• Emboldening the Arabian Peninsula. The Diplomatic Courier.  March 16, 2011.
• Niger: A Surprising Model for Democratic Transition. The Diplomatic Courier.  March 16, 2011.
• Libya: A Watershed for Pro-Democracy Protests in MENA. The Diplomatic Courier.  February 22, 2011.
• Egypt on the Brink: Update. The Diplomatic Courier.  January 29, 2011.
• Egypt on the Brink and What it Means for Yemen and Jordan. The Diplomatic Courier.  January 28, 2011.
• Turmoil in Tunisia: The Beginning of a Domino Effect. The Diplomatic Courier.  January 17, 2011.
• How the Culmination of Violence, Religion and Politics Affects Egypt's Future. The Diplomatic Courier.  January 13, 2011.
• Hugo Chavez is Feeling the Squeeze. The Diplomatic Courier.  January 2, 2011.

• US Government Innovations in Peacebuilding and Conflict Resolution: Implications for the IPCR Program. International Peace & Conflict Resolution Program at American University, American University Press: Washington, DC.  Revised November 2010. 
• France Looks to the East, Russia Looks to the West. The Diplomatic Courier.  December 21, 2010.
• Lifting Sanctions & Unemployment: How They Impact Iraq's Future. The Diplomatic Courier.  December 21, 201

• Russia's Privatization Debate. The Diplomatic Courier.  November 18, 2010.

Selected Working Papers

• Predicting Armed Conflict Using Machine Learning.  (With Nicholas Tatonetti, Columbia University​)

Civil War Onset Forecast for Uganda

• Domestic Terrorism as a Strategy of Retribution.​​​​​​​
• Does Decentralization Alleviate Malcontent? (With Amuitz Garmendia Madariaga, Universidad Carlos III)
• Reconsidering Political Use of Force Abroad in the Drone Age. ​(With Scott S. Boddery, Gettysburg College)

Predicted Count of Drone Strikes per Month, 2006-2012

Predicted Count of Credit Claiming Drone Strikes, 2008-2012

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